More level playing field for smaller banks

Level the playing field for lenders

The Australian Prudential Regulator ( APRA ) has announced the the four major banks and Macquarie will be compelled as of 1st July 2016 to increase their risk weighting for home loan lending to 25 percent up from the current 16 percent.   This will bring them a little closer to the 35 percent that applies to other non-IRB accredited lenders which basically represent the rest of the market.

The move will be welcomed by the regional/second tier lenders who have argued for several years that the risk weighting has been biased in favour of the major banks.  This will to some extent level the playing field as the major banks will be required to fund their lending with between $10 and $12 billion dollars of extra capital.  Meanwhile there is still a possibility that APRA could lift the 25 percent figure further, depending on the outcome of the Basel Committee on financial regulations later this year

This will probably result in increased interest rates or more likely reduced discounts, which have recently been seen as high as 1.35% off the standard variable.   Where as ten years ago discounts were closer to 0.60% to 0.80%.

ABC reports Westpac CFO Peter King said that, while Westpac had started increasing its capital position, customers and shareholders would be forced to bear the costs.

“We are well placed for this change, having already taken a number of significant steps to boost our capital position,” he said. “While Westpac is well-placed to meet these changes, increased capital does come at a cost. The cost of holding higher capital will inevitably be borne by customers and shareholders.”?

 

Housing Oversupply Tipped to Cool Markets

Over heated propery market

The normally subdued winter property market has been anything but chilled – in fact Sydney and Melbourne continues to be what  can only be described as over-heated. With Melbourne joining Sydney reporting a median house price over $1 million – these two cities are rapidly approaching New York level of property prices.

Sydney properties average only 26 days on the market with Melbourne close at 31 days. Added to this has been an ongoing fall in listings with 13 percent fall in Sydney and 11 percent in Melbourne. These issues combined with the historically low interest rates have sustained the market activity.

However BIS Shrapnel reports that falling population growth matched to a construction boom with 210,000 starts in 2014/2015, will see an oversupply of housing in both Victoria and Qld in the near term with Sydney tipped to follow in the next couple of years.

So while low interest rates and offshore investor demand have fed the current boom – it would appear that the market itself may be able to do what both the RBA and APRA have so far failed to achieve.

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